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RE: census figures



Title: Message

I wrote:
> Stats for 10 years and 5 years is a sudden bubble? I recommend looking
> at the stats for private schooling for 1980. How many homeschoolers did
> *you* know (anecdotally) in 1980? Now?

These numbers are from the US Department of Education:

1. http://www.ed.gov/offices/OERI/SAI/homeschool/homeschoolers.pdf -- Growth has persisted over three decades. Earlier estimates, based on different methodologies, suggested 60,000 to 125,000 school-aged children for the fall of 1983; and 122,000 to 244,000 for fall of 1985; between 150,000 to 300,000 for fall of 1988; and between 250,000 to 350,000 for fall of 1990. A retroactive estimate done in 1988 suggested 10,000 to 15,000 children received their education at home in the late 1970s and early 1980s.

2. http://www.ed.gov/offices/OERI/SAI/homeschool/AppendixA.html -- Homeschool growth from 1991 to 1996 was 288% nation-wide during those 5 years.

If we follow the two above trends (and I'm thinking that Ms. Huskey won't argue with a 30 year trend -- but she might), we see that homeschooling has had an average rate of increase of 3.5% per year for the last 19 years.

Sheet1 Chart 1
 
Tom, that's what I meant by anecdotal information. By virtue of the number of homeschoolers I knew 20+ years ago (one) and those I know now.
 
Hope that clears up what I meant by anecdotal information.

Dale Courtney
Moscow, Idaho
Free to be me, free to be you (as long as you agree with me...)

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