vision2020@moscow.com: Moscow population -Reply

Moscow population -Reply

RAY PANKOPF (RAYP@UIDFM.DFM.UIDAHO.EDU)
Wed, 13 Dec 1995 09:06:21 -0800

** Proprietary **

the first set of assumptions/figures ignores the shift out of the residence
halls... it is a VERY significant shift.

the second set (wwp) shows 500 new "hook-ups." again, a big portion
of those "hook-ups" (i am convinced) went to shifting population rather
than new population....

as b. disreali said... "there are lies... etc"

bottom line is that the order of magnitude of the growth is in the 500 to
1000 persons range (depending on which set of lies (excuse me,
statistics) you believe... and not in the multiple 1000's range

>>> Kenton <90142419@WSUVM1.CSC.WSU.EDU> 12/13/95 08:18am
>>>
Dale Pernula calculates that since 1990, Moscow has added 1,126
dwelling units of all kinds (single-family homes, duplexes, multi-family
units and university housing). (This was current as of mid-November.)
In the 1990 census, the occupancy rate was 2.3 persons per d.u. If that
rate remained constant, the additional population would be 2,590. If the
rate has declined as the population has redistributed itself to fewer
residents per dwelling, the increase would be less. Even so, it suggests
that the increase since 1990 is greater than the Census Bureau
estimates.
One other way of estimating growth would be through utility hook-ups.
WWP had 7,536 residential customers (for electricity) in 1990 in Moscow
and 8,032 in 1994, according to company figures. It had 112 in "Moscow
suburban" in 1990 and 477 in 1994. (WWP and Clwearwater Power
both serve rural areas outside of Moscow, so it's not clear whether that
big jump reflects the transfer of some CP customers to WWP.)
Nonetheless, growth outside the city limits may be one reason why
trafrfic on city streets appears to be growing faster than city population.

Moscow Vision 2020 plans to propose a population/demographic
working group of representatives from local agencies with an interest in
staying on top of these numbers. We have approached Jon Miller with
the idea of doing an annual update of his study "Why is Moscow
growing?" If you are interested in helping shape questions or gather
data for this propject, please contact me or Priscilla Salant
(salant@wsu.edu)

Kenton


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