vision2020
Famous last words on technology and predictions of the future.
- To: "Bill Wright" <wgwright@juno.com>, "Don Minnick" <outdordon@aol.com>, "Meg and Neal Evans" <evansnd@conc.tds.net>, "Mike and Bev Wirtz" <crosley@sprintmail.com>, "Mike oliver" <mikeoliver@usa.net>, "Mark Pfefferkorn" <mpfeff@harmonsmith.com>
- Subject: Famous last words on technology and predictions of the future.
- From: "John and Laurie Danahy" <JDANAHY@turbonet.com>
- Date: Thu, 28 Jan 1999 17:39:52 -0800
- Cc: "ZAC FRANZ" <tmblweed@pullman.com>, "Yvonne Caudill" <vonniebob@webtv.net>, "Vision2020" <vision2020@moscow.com>, "Sue DRISKILL" <driskill@sd281.k12.id.us>, "Shirley Engerbretson" <engers@sd281.k12.id.us>, "Michael" <mdanahy@mail.ups.edu>, "Mark Danahy" <mark_danahy@mortgage.ge.com>, "Lois Melina" <lmelina@moscow.com>, "Kristi Franz" <sunnyside@igc.apc.org>, "Ken and Julie Barrows" <kbarrows@stlnet.com>, "KC" <kc@moscow.com>, "Frank Fowler" <frank@uidaho.edu>, "Dawes" <ddawes@moscow.com>, "Cindy Kaag" <kaag@wsu.edu>, "DON KAAG" <dkaag@turbonet.com>, "DENNIS BAIRD" <dbaird@uidaho.edu>, "Ivar Nelson" <ivar@uidaho.edu>, "LYNN BAIRD" <lbaird@belle.lib.uidaho.edu>, "Fisk, Ed" <efisk@sd281.k12.id.us>, "Cynthia Mika" <cmika@uidaho.edu>, "Craig Rennebohm" <107663.2417@compuserve.com>, "Bob West" <westb@sd281.k12.id.us>, "Bob Probasco" <rcp@uidaho.edu>, "Dawna Fazio" <dawna@turbonet.com>, "Karen Falke" <karen@uidaho.edu>, "Joe Geiger" <joeg@uidaho.edu>, "Gerry Weitz" <cweitz@moscow.com>, "Karen Byers" <kbyers@uidaho.edu>
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John and Laurie Danahy
jdanahy@turbonet.com
>
> Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.
>
> Popular Mechanics
> Forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949
>
> I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
>
> Thomas Watson
> Chairman of IBM, 1943
>
> I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with
the
> best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that
won't
> last out the year.
>
> The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957
>
> But what ... is it good for?
>
> Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968,
> commenting on the microchip.
>
> There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.
>
> Ken Olson
> President, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977
>
> This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as
a
> means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.
>
> Western Union internal memo, 1876.
>
> The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay
for
> a message sent to nobody in particular?
>
> David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment
in
> the radio in the 1920s.
>
> The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better
> than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible.
>
> A Yale University management professor in response to Fred Smith's
paper
> proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to
found
> Federal Express Corp.)
>
> Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?
>
> H.M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.
>
> I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not Gary
> Cooper.
>
> Gary Cooper
> On his decision not to take the leading role in "Gone With The Wind."
>
> A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say
> America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you make.
>
> Response to Debbi Fields'
> idea of starting Mrs. Fields' Cookies.
>
> We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.
>
> Decca Recording Co.
> Rejecting the Beatles, 1962.
>
> Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.
>
> Lord Kelvin
> president
> Royal Society, 1895.
>
> If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The
> literature was full of examples that said you can't do this.
>
> Spencer Silver
> On the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3M Post-It Notepads.
>
> So we went to Atari and said, 'Hey, we've got this amazing thing, even
built
> with some of your parts, and what do you think about funding us? Or we'll
> give
> it to you. We just want to do it. Pay our salary, we'll come work for
you.'
> And they said, 'No.' So then we went to Hewlett-Packard, and they said,
> 'Hey,
> we don't need you. You haven't got through college yet.'
>
> Apple Computer Inc. founder Steve Jobs
> On attempts to get Atari and HP interested in his and Steve Wozniak's
> personal computer.
>
> Professor Goddard does not know the relation between action and reaction
and
> the need to have something better than a vacuum against which to react.
He
> seems to lack the basic knowledge ladled out daily in high schools.
>
> 1921 New York Times
> Editorial about Robert Goddard's revolutionary rocket work.
>
> You want to have consistent and uniform muscle development across all of
> your
> muscles? It can't be done. It's just a fact of life. You just have to
> accept
> inconsistent muscle development as an unalterable condition of weight
> training.
>
> Response to Arthur Jones, who solved the "unsolvable" problem by
> inventing Nautilus.
>
> Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil?
You're
> crazy.
>
> Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill
for
> oil in 1859.
>
> Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.
>
> Irving Fisher
> Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
>
> Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value.
>
> Marechal Ferdinand Foch
> Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre.
>
> Everything that can be invented has been invented.
>
> Charles H. Duell
> Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899.
>
> Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.
>
> Pierre Pachet
> Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872
>
> The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the
> intrusion
> of the wise and humane surgeon.
>
> Sir John Eric Ericksen
> British surgeon, appointed Surgeon Extraordinary to Queen Victoria
1873.
>
> 640K ought to be enough for anybody.
>
> Bill Gates
> 1981
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